Settlement-longBinance · long T−90 → T−30
—
-0.48%per kluster
fills / kluster395 / 86
maker-variantväntar på fills
backtest+1,05%/kluster NETTO @0,27% (t=5,9)
86 av 50 kluster till GO/KILL · —
Polymarket pump-fadeNO efter ≥10pp-rörelse · 24h
n=132
+0.0%klustersnitt
| arm | kluster | snitt | WR |
|---|
| alla | 132 | +0.0% | 45% |
| krypto | 28 | +10.2% | 61% |
| övrigt | 104 | -2.7% | 40% |
signaler / stängda197 / 169
backtest+10.7% ROI snitt, WR 68% (dag-t 5.7)
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | -71.6% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | -94.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | +385.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | -45.1% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | -92.5% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round o | -6.8% |
korrelerade marknader räknas som en observation · kryptoarmen handlas ej
Kraken Futures pump-fadeshort 12h efter ≥+20% på 8h
n=22
-2.21%netto/trade
signaler / stängda22 / 22
median / WR+0.39% / 55%
bokkostn.1k / 5k / 25k / 100k → 0.43% / 0.48% / 1.44% / 2.16%
backtest+3,34%/trade netto, dag-t 5,25 (400 dagar)
| DASHUSD | -13.04% |
| SUSHIUSD | +1.78% |
| ARBUSD | -20.78% |
| RAYUSD | -16.34% |
| CFGUSD | +8.71% |
kill: <+1%/trade netto efter 40 signaldagar · gamla +10%/dygn: 0 sig / 0 stängda / —
Genesis-vakten5 sensorer · 06:30 + tracker 06:45
2026-09-10
| nya PM-taggar | AI Achievements [10h], Millennium Prize [10h], CMI [10h] |
| nya Kalshi-serier | 52 st, varav 33 med marknader: KXTLAXGOV, KXOHAUDITOR, KXQUEBECPREMIER, KXNZPM, |
| ny rewards-familj | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another M ($200/d) | [ATERKOMMANDE] Will Kimi (Mo |
ytor under uppföljning421
facit-loop: p0-poster / utfall5726 / 2016 · bias +4.6pp · Brier 0.167
ytor med tvåsidig bok:NFL Gameday: 861 handelsbara av 3430 (spread 0.21, dag 1)
FIFA U-20 Women's World : 90 handelsbara av 1365 (spread 0.53, dag 5)
Quebec Elections: 88 handelsbara av 658 (spread 0.02, dag 9)
will étienne grandmont w: 88 handelsbara av 658 (spread 0.02, dag 9)
will trump say "alien" d: 47 handelsbara av 73 (spread 0.05, dag 16)
A/B: 48h vs 12h fadeflyttades jämvikten?
dom i okt
48h (utmanare)-3.3% · 18 trades
12h (konsensus)-13.6% · 101 trades
tesen: konsensus-boten flyttade jämvikten från 12h till 48h
Likviditetsrewardsmaker-quoting, statisk
stoppad
8.5%/dagbrutto reward
marknader / timmar150 / 26
fyllskugga (1h-mtm)-6.16% av $340k fyllt
Adverse selection översteg rewarden i alla fem quote-avstånd. Återupptas endast med realtids-MM.
Övriga skuggor
in-play underdog (passiv)95/95 · traff 18% vs 17%
funding-extrem (short)n=150, -0.41%
nya listningarn=4
LLM-domar788
likvidationskartan24376
carry-datalagerfärsk (726 min)
Edge Radar
1 förslag väntar
källorbinance ✓ · bybit ✓ · cboe ✓ · edgar ✓ · genesis ✓ · hyperliquid ✓ · okx ✓
samlar data0 hypoteser
LLM-kostnad denna månad$1.92
NYA KALSHI-SERIER: 52 st, varav 33 med marknader: KXTLAXGOV, KXOHAUDITradar-genesis-d5e270ebab748010
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | fees | [Important] TradFi Perp Options Fee Schedule |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | other | Bybit Odds is live: A new way to trade your view on price |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | product | TradFi stock listing: 10 stock CFDs now live on Bybit TradFi! |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | product | Delisting of L3,VIC |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | rules | New listing: BTDRUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract, with up to 25x leverage |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | rules | New listing: CGNXUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract, with up to 25x leverage |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | rules | New listing: FORMSTOCKUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract, with up to 25x leverage |
| 09-10T19:30 | bybit | other | Bybit to Support MultiversX (EGLD) v2.0.7 Network Upgrade |
radar 07:30/19:30 · mekanismagent 07:50/19:50 · collect :40 · godkänn: research/approve.py
Insamlare
watchdog 10 min
shadow_logger
carry_logger
gex_logger
llm_news_judge
hl_liq_indexer
pm_shadow
kf20_shadow
pm_underdog_shadow
fomo_fade48_bot
nattvakt 06:00 · genesis 06:30 · tracker 06:45 · vädersvansar 12:00